Continuous rainfall in the state this month has not just caught the farmers unawares but also pushed the met officials to study the change in the weather pattern.
Officials of the Jaipur met office and the IMD, Delhi ( India Meteorological Department) to analyze the trend and find reasons for the dip in temperatures.
According to the data available with the Jaipur met office, the average rainfall in various parts of the state in April so far has been the highest in the last 10 years.
The showers have delayed the onset of summer, and the weatherman says that the abnormal activity of rainfall can affect the monsoon activity in the state.
Attributing the unexpected rainfall to the strong presence of westerly winds and upper air cyclonic circulation, the Met said that these factors are still prevailing in the northern and western parts of the state.
“Districts like Barmer, Jaisalmer and Jodhpur did not witness a drop of rainfall in April in the last 10 years. However, this year so far, the average rainfall in western districts is around 30 to 40 mm. As a result, the maximum temperature which normally breaches the 40 degree Celsius-mark by April 15 has not gone beyond 39 degrees in these districts this time,” said a senior official of IMD, Delhi on Wednesday.
The Met department however is not excited about the sudden showers as it fears it may have a negative impact on the monsoon activity in the state. Director, Jaipur met office, S S Singh said, “I think that the abnormal rainfall in the month of April will certainly have a negative impact on the monsoon. We are studying the pattern. Likewise IMD, Delhi office is also analyzing the activity to arrive at possible answers for such change in weather pattern.”
Jaipur has so far recorded an average maximum temperature of 37 degrees. “By this time, the maximum temperature of Jaipur ranges between 41 and 42 degrees,” an official said.
Meanwhile, the Met forecasts that the current pattern will prevail for at least a week and from first week of May the mercury will take an upward swing in the state.
MET office in its forecast said that the ongoing pattern of upper air cyclonic circulation and westerly winds will prevail for at least a week and from the first week of May onwards mercury will start taking an upward swing. By the first way it appears that these factors will vanish and normal maximum temperatures will start rising across the state.
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